نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله English
نویسندگان English
This study aimed to identify the factors influencing foresight thinking and provide a framework for enhancing this key skill. The research employed a mixed-methods approach and utilized the fuzzy Delphi method to achieve consensus among experts. The research is applied in purpose and descriptive-analytical in nature. The statistical population consisted of 14 experts in the fields of foresight, management, and education, selected through purposive sampling. Data were collected through semi-structured interviews and three rounds of fuzzy Delphi implementation. For data analysis, qualitative methods (thematic coding) and fuzzy analysis were used to determine the importance and prioritization of factors. The findings revealed that out of 17 initial themes, 12 factors were identified as key components of foresight thinking. These factors included critical thinking ability, risk management, innovation and creativity, analysis of social and cultural trends, and acceptance of the future as a dynamic process. The study concluded that strengthening these factors is essential for designing educational programs and long-term policies aimed at fostering foresight thinking in individuals and organizations. This framework can contribute to improved decision-making under uncertainty and enhanced adaptability to future changes. The results underscored that fostering foresight thinking requires a focus on elements such as critical thinking, risk management, innovation, and trend analysis, which facilitate better decision-making and future adaptability.
کلیدواژهها English
